The Vanishing Trial; As court battles become more rare, some experts fear the effects on the law
Business Week
April 30, 2007

A towering state courthouse that opened in downtown Houston last year boasts 39 courtrooms and expansion space for more. But lawyers in the city say the new building, built to handle civil lawsuits, is often eerily empty. The reason: So few cases are going to trial.

The federal courthouses in the northern district of Florida, a sprawling region that includes Tallahassee, Pensacola, and Gainesville, have been similarly quiet in recent months. The four federal judges in the district presided over just 12 civil trials in 2006 and 5 in 2005.

Around the country, plenty of lawsuits are getting filed, but fewer and fewer are going to trial. The civil trial is one of the most iconic American institutions, a time-honored forum where disputes over injuries, divorces, and all manner of business disasters are resolved. Yet rising legal costs, decreasing judicial tolerance for weak lawsuits, and the surging use of alternative dispute resolution (ADR) are combining to make courtroom showdowns exceptional occurrences.

After peaking at 12,018 in 1984, the number of civil trials in all federal district courts has dropped precipitously, reaching a new low of 3,555 last year. That's almost half the number of federal trials that took place 40 years ago, even though the number of suits filed during the same period soared from 66,144 to 259,541. Now the U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission is considering a contentious proposal to allow federal shareholder lawsuits to be handled through arbitration, a move that could siphon additional lawsuits out of the court system.

University of Wisconsin law professor Marc Galanter has dubbed this trend the "vanishing trial." It has also played out in state courts. In 21 states for which data were available, the number of civil jury trials fell 40% from 1976 to 2004.

Is this development worrisome? Some in the legal community are happy that trials are becoming rarer. Courtroom litigation is "a very inefficient process" for most cases, says Victor Schachter, a lawyer in Mountain View, Calif., who represents companies in employment suits.

Yet others are worried, with concerns ranging from the profound to the practical. Nathan L. Hecht, senior justice on the Texas Supreme Court, says that the drop in the number of trials is resulting in a reduction in the number of precedents--the broad rulings that tell people and businesses how to behave in changing and legally ambiguous circumstances. "I think it's a detriment if we lose the development of the common law through cases and appeals that have been the [basis of the] rule of law in this country since its founding," says Hecht. Partners at law firms, meanwhile, wonder how their younger lawyers will ever develop the skills needed to try cases. …

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